Models are beginning to align regarding the southern wet break — due from ~29th May onwards. As noted in previous updates, widespread rainfall signals forecast across May 2025 were unlikely to verify until late in the month — and this is now becoming the case. Both the GFS and ECMWF (shown) are in strong agreement at extended timeframes (10–14 days), aligning closely with our long-range outlook released 27.11.2024 — six months in advance. While an upper trough remains due around 16–18th May for

11K views · 60 reactions | Weather Update Saturday 3 January 2026...