A dozen current or former House members have already launched bids for 2026 Senate or governor races, and more are weighing whether to leave the lower chamber.

Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY), and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman are all at least 20 points behind the Democratic incumbent.

Gov. Hochul maintains strong leads against Republican contenders in New York's 2026 race despite underwater favorability ratings, with Rep. Elise Stefanik emerging as GOP frontrunner.