Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The US market consensus believes the country has avoided recession, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes showing strong performance. However, yield curves remain deeply inverted, which traditionally ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

North American yield curves are experiencing the steepest inversion of the last 3 decades, while European yield curves have flattened significantly in 2022. In the world of fixed income investing, ...

Economists often look to the US Treasury bond market for clues about when a recession might come. Specifically, they examine the so-called yield curve. When it’s “inverted,” as it has been since about ...

A version of this article was published in the November 2015 issue of Morningstar ETFInvestor. Download a complimentary copy of ETFInvestor here. Flaw of Averages Duration, by itself, is a crude ...

There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...

Historical charts show inverted yield curves often precede recessions. Therefore, many conclude that today's inverted yield curve means a recession is coming. The problem is, that link is a sloppy ...

Because interest rates on government bonds with varying maturities can "behave quite differently," depending on risk perceptions and the overall economic picture at any given time, the yield curve ...

A yield curve is a graphical way to compare the yield on similar loans with different maturities. Several factors determine the course of the yield curve, including inflation expectations, liquidity, ...