GDPnow, Atlanta Fed

Atlanta Fed's GDPnow model sees Q1 GDP deeper in the red after ISM release
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model slid deeper into the red on Monday, estimating that Q1 GDP will sink 2.8% on a seasonally adjusted annual rate, from the 1.5% decline it estimated on Friday. The nowcast factored in Monday's release of the February ISM,
Atlanta Fed model forecasts nearly -3% GDP growth in first quarter of this year
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model had, up until the Feb. 28 update, been forecasting growth between 2-4% in line with most other models. A graph on the GDPNow page lists the "Blue Chip Consensus" average of the top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts at a slight tick more than 2% U.S. GDP growth for Q1 2025.
Closely watched Atlanta Fed GDP tracker sees U.S. economy contracting in first quarter
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow on Friday lowered its forecast for the U.S. economy to a contraction at a 1.5% annual rate. This would be the first quarterly contraction in the economy since the first quarter of 2022.
Atlanta Fed’s GDP Predictor Is Tanking. It’s All About Trade Wars.
The Atlanta Federal Reserve keeps a running tally of how it expects gross domestic product to perform in the current quarter. It just swung from solid growth to contraction. The reason could be down to some statistical noise,
Atlanta Fed model forecasts GDP contraction in 2025 Q1
On February 28, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -1.5%: https://t.co/T7FoDdgYos. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: https://t.co/NOSwMl7Jms. pic.twitter.com/HhndH6BirX
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Sees Economy Shrinking After Friday Data
The US economy is setting up to take a major step back in the first quarter after a pair of reports showed weaker consumer spending and a dramatic widening of the trade deficit at the start of the year,
Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Estimate Falls Again
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s running forecast for first-quarter gross domestic product slid again on Monday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate now calls for a first-quarter GDP decline of 2.8%,
US economy on track for negative GDP in Trump’s first quarter back
The US economy is already slipping in 2025, and the numbers don’t look good for President Donald Trump, who took the Oval back on January 20. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, GDP is on track to contract by 1.
Atlanta Fed shock sounds 'Trumpcession' warning
The euro strengthened and European stocks rose on Monday after European leaders agreed to draw up a Ukraine peace plan, while ...
New York Sun1d
Facing Dismal Economic Projections From Atlanta Fed, Commerce Secretary Proposes Major Change to GDP Reporting
The Atlanta branch of the Federal Reserve is now predicting that America’s GDP could decline by as much as 2.8 percent in the ...
Economic And Market Data Signal A Recession Is Coming
A slew of economic and market data is signaling that a Trumpcession is around the corner. Declining stock market and dollar ...
The state of the US economy, in 9 charts
President Donald Trump on Tuesday will address Congress for the first time in his second term, and he’ll do with an economy ...
Trump official floats new approach on GDP, as economy poised to slow sharply
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick wants to separate government spending from GDP, which economists worry could lead to cherry ...
Cash Is King For Now
The Atlanta Fed GDP Now forecast for Q1 GDP growth has crashed from its initial estimate of nearly 4% growth to just 2.3%.
Trump Gets Economic Red Flag One Day Before Address to Congress
President Donald Trump received a red flag about the state of the U.S. economy just one day before his address to Congress. Newsweek reached out to the U.S. Treasury for comment via email.
The US economy has suddenly been thrown into reverse as key GDP indicator flashes stunning negative forecast
The Atlanta Fed's GDP tracker now indicates the economy is headed for a 1.5% contraction in the first quarter, after showing ...